نام دکتر سید رضا میرنظامی
هیئت علمی، مدیر اندیشکده انرژی

معرفی

https://sharif.edu/~srmirnezami/

(صفحه دکتر میرنظامی در سایت دانشگاه صنعتی شریف)

سید رضا میرنظامی

دانشیار پژوهشکده سیاست گذاری

دانشگاه صنعتی شریف

علایق تحقیقاتی: سیاست گذاری انرژی – روش های کمی در سیاست گذاری

ایمیل: srmirnezami [[AT]] sharif [[DOT]] edu

تلفن تماس: 66068518-021

آدرس: تهران، میدان شهید تیموری، بخش شمالی دانشگاه صنعتی شریف، پژوهشکده سیاست گذاری

Seyed Reza Mirnezami

Associate Professor, The Research Institute for Science, Technology, and Industry Policy (RISTIP)

Sharif University of Technology

Research Interests: Energy Policy, Quantitative Methods in Policy Process

Email: srmirnezami [[AT]] sharif [[DOT]] edu

Phone: +98-21-66068518

Postal Address: Sharif University of Technology, Azadi Ave, Tehran, Iran PO
Box: 11365-11155

Transforming energy landscape: A scenario-based robust planning strategy for addressing energy imbalance in Iran by 2035





 

abstract

Iran’s energy sector is characterized by its significant reserves, market dynamics, economic challenges, and political and global impacts. This paper employs an integrated, scenario-based robust planning approach t address Iran’s energy imbalance, which manifests as excess demand or insufficient supply of natural gas inwinter, electricity in summer, and gasoline year-round. By examining key uncertainties, constructing four scenarios, and testing various strategies against these scenarios, the robust strategies were developed for both supplyand demand in the oil, gas, and electricity sectors. Common strategies, such as price adjustments, were alsodiscussed. The analysis underscores the urgent need for infrastructure investment, technology adoption, diversification of energy sources (including renewables), and pricing reforms.

KEYWORDS

Energy imbalance, Iran, Robust strategies, Scenario planning

CITE AS

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2025.101817

link to the paper

link to the open-access paper